Análisis Real Murcia vs Valencia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
52.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.01
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.6%
Empate
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
26.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.38
Goles esperados
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 ene. 1930 |
SPO
3 - 2
MUR
60%
19%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 ene. 1930 |
SEV
6 - 1
MUR
57%
20%
23%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 dic. 1929 |
MUR
4 - 0
BET
56%
21%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 dic. 1929 |
DEP
3 - 4
MUR
67%
18%
16%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 dic. 1929 |
MUR
2 - 2
ALA
59%
21%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 ene. 1930 |
VCF
4 - 2
SEV
48%
22%
31%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 ene. 1930 |
ISC
3 - 3
VCF
54%
21%
25%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 dic. 1929 |
VCF
2 - 3
OVI
67%
17%
16%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 dic. 1929 |
ALA
4 - 1
VCF
46%
22%
32%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 dic. 1929 |
DEP
3 - 1
VCF
47%
22%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |