Copa del Rey Semifinal
Global 1-8
Análisis Real Murcia vs Valencia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
33.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.65
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
21.9%
Empate
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
44.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.91
Goles esperados
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 jun. 1944 |
VCF
3 - 0
MUR
85%
10%
6%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 jun. 1944 |
ESP
2 - 2
MUR
68%
17%
15%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 may. 1944 |
MUR
5 - 2
ESP
49%
21%
30%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +2 |
| 21 may. 1944 |
OVI
1 - 3
MUR
81%
11%
8%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 may. 1944 |
MUR
1 - 2
OVI
44%
22%
35%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 jun. 1944 |
VCF
3 - 0
MUR
85%
10%
6%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 jun. 1944 |
VCF
6 - 1
SAB
84%
10%
6%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 may. 1944 |
SAB
1 - 2
VCF
34%
22%
44%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 may. 1944 |
DEP
2 - 4
VCF
31%
22%
47%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 may. 1944 |
VCF
2 - 0
DEP
85%
9%
5%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |