Análisis Real Murcia vs Villarreal B
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
54.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.61
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.9%
Empate
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
20.2%
Probabilidad gana
0.87
Goles esperados
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
-14%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 oct. 2011 |
HUE
2 - 2
MUR
37%
28%
34%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 2011 |
MUR
0 - 0
XER
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 oct. 2011 |
UDL
1 - 1
MUR
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 2011 |
MUR
2 - 1
NUM
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 2011 |
VAD
1 - 3
MUR
70%
19%
12%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
Partidos
Villarreal B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 oct. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 2
GIR
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 oct. 2011 |
CCF
1 - 1
VIL
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 sep. 2011 |
VIL
3 - 2
GIM
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 sep. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 1
VIL
26%
27%
46%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 sep. 2011 |
VIL
3 - 3
GUA
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |