Análisis Real Sociedad vs Hércules
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
78%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.77
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.6%
Empate
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
8.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.81
Goles esperados
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 oct. 1993 |
CDT
2 - 1
RSO
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 1993 |
HER
1 - 1
RSO
23%
24%
53%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 oct. 1993 |
RSO
2 - 0
RAC
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 1993 |
ATM
1 - 2
RSO
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 oct. 1993 |
RSO
2 - 2
OVI
60%
24%
16%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 oct. 1993 |
HER
0 - 4
MLL
40%
29%
32%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 1993 |
HER
1 - 1
RSO
23%
24%
53%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 oct. 1993 |
COM
1 - 1
HER
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 1993 |
HER
4 - 0
VIL
54%
26%
21%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 oct. 1993 |
HER
0 - 0
EIB
55%
26%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |