Análisis Real Sociedad vs Hércules


82	ELO	78
-12.1%	Tilt	-10.2%
29º	Ranking ELO general	2413º
7º	Ranking ELO país	74º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria

52.9%

Real Sociedad

24.8%

Empate

22.2%

Hércules

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto

Probabilidad del hándicap

52.9%
Probabilidad de victoria

                        
                    
1.62
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%

24.8%

Empate

0-0

7.6%

1-1

11.8%

2-2

4.5%

3-3

0.8%

4-4

0.1%

0

24.8%

22.2%
Probabilidad de victoria

                        
                    
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

-10%

-4%

Progresión del ELO

Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Real Sociedad

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
14 feb. 2009	MUR 2 - 0 RSO 35% 27% 37%	83	76	7
07 feb. 2009	RSO 1 - 1 ZAR 38% 28% 34%	83	86	3
31 ene. 2009	UDL 0 - 1 RSO 33% 28% 39%	83	73	10
24 ene. 2009	RSO 0 - 0 ELC 63% 23% 14%	83	73	10
17 ene. 2009	LEV 0 - 2 RSO 46% 25% 28%	83	80	3

Partidos

Hércules

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
14 feb. 2009	HER 4 - 2 LEV 46% 26% 28%	77	79	2	0
07 feb. 2009	RAY 1 - 0 HER 36% 28% 37%	78	71	7	-1
31 ene. 2009	HER 1 - 0 CCF 66% 21% 13%	77	66	11	+1
25 ene. 2009	HER 2 - 2 SLA 54% 25% 22%	77	75	2	0
17 ene. 2009	ALB 0 - 3 HER 41% 27% 32%	77	75	2	0