Análisis Real Zaragoza vs Barakaldo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
80%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.94
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
12.4%
Empate
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
7.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 may. 1940 |
BAR
0 - 4
ZAR
42%
23%
35%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 1940 |
ZAR
4 - 1
ESP
38%
22%
40%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 abr. 1940 |
RAC
1 - 0
ZAR
71%
15%
14%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 1940 |
ZAR
1 - 1
SEV
34%
22%
45%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 1940 |
RMA
5 - 1
ZAR
90%
7%
3%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | -1 |
Partidos
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 may. 1940 |
BAR
0 - 4
ZAR
42%
23%
35%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 mar. 1940 |
BAR
4 - 2
ARE
52%
22%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 feb. 1940 |
ALA
0 - 0
BAR
64%
18%
17%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 feb. 1940 |
BAR
1 - 3
RUN
60%
19%
22%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 feb. 1940 |
SSC
1 - 1
BAR
48%
22%
30%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |