Análisis Real Zaragoza vs CD Castellón
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
74.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.34
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.3%
Empate
0-0
5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
8.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.67
Goles esperados
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-11%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 nov. 2008 |
GIR
1 - 0
ZAR
16%
24%
61%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 oct. 2008 |
ZAR
2 - 1
XER
74%
17%
10%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 oct. 2008 |
SEV
0 - 4
ZAR
18%
25%
57%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 2008 |
ZAR
4 - 2
ALA
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 oct. 2008 |
HER
2 - 1
ZAR
31%
27%
43%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
Partidos
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 nov. 2008 |
CAS
1 - 1
UDL
46%
28%
27%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 oct. 2008 |
CAS
0 - 2
BET
27%
30%
43%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 oct. 2008 |
RSO
2 - 3
CAS
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 oct. 2008 |
CAS
4 - 1
LEV
34%
30%
36%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 oct. 2008 |
RAY
4 - 2
CAS
41%
29%
30%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |