Análisis Real Zaragoza vs Hércules
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
80.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.15
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
7%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
11.6%
Empate
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
7.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.92
Goles esperados
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-20%
-7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 may. 1933 |
ESP
4 - 0
ZAR
63%
18%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 may. 1933 |
ZAR
3 - 1
ESP
51%
21%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 1933 |
ZAR
1 - 1
CEL
74%
14%
12%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 abr. 1933 |
CEL
2 - 3
ZAR
44%
22%
35%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 1933 |
PEÑ
2 - 3
ZAR
20%
22%
58%
|
79 | 37 | 42 | 0 |
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 may. 1933 |
BET
4 - 1
HER
76%
14%
10%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 may. 1933 |
HER
3 - 3
BET
38%
23%
39%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 1933 |
HER
3 - 0
RCF
72%
15%
13%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 abr. 1933 |
RCF
1 - 1
HER
46%
22%
32%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 1933 |
LEV
0 - 4
HER
27%
22%
51%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | 0 |