Copa de la Liga de España 1/16
Global 4-1
Análisis Real Zaragoza vs Hércules
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
82.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.91
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
11.6%
Empate
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
5.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.68
Goles esperados
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 abr. 1986 |
ZAR
1 - 0
FCB
52%
22%
26%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 1986 |
ZAR
1 - 1
SEV
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 1986 |
ATH
1 - 1
ZAR
63%
20%
17%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 abr. 1986 |
RMA
3 - 2
ZAR
69%
19%
12%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 abr. 1986 |
ZAR
1 - 1
OSA
76%
16%
8%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 abr. 1986 |
RAC
4 - 1
HER
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 1986 |
HER
1 - 1
ESP
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 1986 |
VCF
3 - 1
HER
63%
22%
16%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 mar. 1986 |
HER
2 - 3
BET
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 mar. 1986 |
RSO
6 - 0
HER
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |