Análisis Real Zaragoza vs Hércules
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
67.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.19
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.9%
Empate
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.87
Goles esperados
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-11%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 feb. 2009 |
MUR
1 - 4
ZAR
33%
28%
40%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2009 |
ELC
2 - 0
ZAR
28%
27%
46%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 feb. 2009 |
ZAR
2 - 0
UDL
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 feb. 2009 |
RSO
1 - 1
ZAR
38%
28%
34%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 2009 |
ZAR
2 - 1
LEV
69%
19%
13%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 feb. 2009 |
HER
4 - 2
UDL
59%
23%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 2009 |
RSO
1 - 2
HER
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 2009 |
HER
4 - 2
LEV
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 feb. 2009 |
RAY
1 - 0
HER
36%
28%
37%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 ene. 2009 |
HER
1 - 0
CCF
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |