Análisis Real Zaragoza vs Numancia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
70.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.12
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.7%
Empate
0-0
6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.7
Goles esperados
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
-12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 abr. 2005 |
MLL
0 - 2
ZAR
48%
25%
27%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 2005 |
ZAR
2 - 2
VCF
35%
28%
37%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 mar. 2005 |
ZAR
0 - 0
ATM
45%
25%
30%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 mar. 2005 |
ZAR
2 - 2
AUS
65%
21%
14%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 2005 |
SEV
0 - 1
ZAR
55%
24%
21%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 abr. 2005 |
NUM
1 - 0
ATM
23%
26%
50%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 2005 |
SEV
1 - 0
NUM
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 2005 |
NUM
2 - 3
RAC
34%
27%
39%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 mar. 2005 |
RSO
2 - 1
NUM
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 2005 |
NUM
1 - 1
VIL
19%
26%
55%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |