Análisis Real Zaragoza vs Lleida
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
83.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.52
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.7%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.8%
9.7%
Empate
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
9.7%
6.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 dic. 1948 |
ZAR
4 - 2
ATB
89%
7%
4%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 nov. 1948 |
CON
2 - 0
ZAR
30%
23%
47%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 nov. 1948 |
ZAR
4 - 1
IGU
90%
7%
3%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 nov. 1948 |
SDE
1 - 1
ZAR
29%
23%
48%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 1948 |
ZAR
4 - 1
ATZ
90%
7%
4%
|
61 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
Partidos
Lleida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 dic. 1948 |
LLE
5 - 1
FCM
76%
14%
10%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 nov. 1948 |
ATB
2 - 2
LLE
43%
22%
35%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 nov. 1948 |
LLE
4 - 0
CON
73%
15%
12%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 nov. 1948 |
IGU
0 - 2
LLE
46%
21%
33%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 nov. 1948 |
LLE
5 - 0
SDE
79%
12%
9%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |