Análisis River Plate Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
50.5%
Probabilidad gana
1.71
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.9%
Empate
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.7%
Probabilidad gana
1.15
Goles esperados
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-14%
+16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 dic. 2009 |
CER
2 - 3
RIV
29%
26%
46%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 nov. 2009 |
RIV
1 - 4
CEL
79%
15%
6%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 nov. 2009 |
LIG
7 - 0
RIV
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 nov. 2009 |
RIV
2 - 1
LIG
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 nov. 2009 |
TAC
2 - 1
RIV
21%
25%
54%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
Partidos
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 nov. 2009 |
CER
1 - 4
DEF
31%
28%
42%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 2009 |
DEF
1 - 1
RAC
62%
22%
17%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 oct. 2009 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
DEF
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 oct. 2009 |
TAC
0 - 1
DEF
24%
27%
49%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 oct. 2009 |
DEF
0 - 0
CEL
77%
16%
7%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |