Análisis River Plate Montevideo vs Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
50.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.77
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.4%
Empate
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.22
Goles esperados
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-7%
+14%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 sep. 2009 |
RIV
4 - 1
VIT
61%
21%
19%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 2009 |
DAN
2 - 2
RIV
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 2009 |
RIV
1 - 1
JUN
77%
15%
8%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 ago. 2009 |
CEN
2 - 2
RIV
26%
25%
49%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 ago. 2009 |
RIV
2 - 1
BLO
72%
16%
11%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 sep. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 1
LFC
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 2009 |
DEF
0 - 3
NAC
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 ago. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 0
TAC
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 ago. 2009 |
CEL
0 - 1
NAC
21%
24%
55%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 jul. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 1
DEF
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |