Análisis RM Castilla vs Alcorcón
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
67.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.1
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.4%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.79
Goles esperados
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+11%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 jun. 2004 |
LAN
1 - 3
RMC
44%
24%
32%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 jun. 2004 |
RMC
2 - 2
LAN
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 jun. 2004 |
CDO
2 - 5
RMC
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 jun. 2004 |
RMC
4 - 0
GIM
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 may. 2004 |
GIM
1 - 0
RMC
54%
24%
23%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 may. 2004 |
CFP
1 - 1
ALC
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 may. 2004 |
ALC
0 - 4
RMC
32%
28%
40%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 may. 2004 |
ALC
2 - 1
ALC
41%
28%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 2004 |
SSR
3 - 0
ALC
36%
27%
37%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 abr. 2004 |
ALC
4 - 1
UDC
62%
23%
15%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |