Análisis RM Castilla vs RSD Alcalá
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.98
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.7%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.81
Goles esperados
0-1
5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+20%
+17%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 may. 2004 |
ALC
0 - 4
RMC
32%
28%
40%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 may. 2004 |
RMC
2 - 0
UDC
72%
18%
11%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 2004 |
CDT
2 - 1
RMC
27%
28%
45%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2004 |
RMC
2 - 0
TAL
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2004 |
CUL
0 - 2
RMC
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 may. 2004 |
ALC
1 - 1
SSR
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 may. 2004 |
ALC
2 - 1
ALC
41%
28%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 2004 |
UDC
0 - 3
ALC
35%
28%
38%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 abr. 2004 |
ALC
3 - 0
CDT
48%
28%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 abr. 2004 |
TAL
1 - 1
ALC
48%
28%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |