Análisis RM Castilla vs Real Jaén
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
70.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.12
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.7%
Empate
0-0
6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
11%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.7
Goles esperados
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
+12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 abr. 2014 |
NUM
0 - 0
RMC
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 abr. 2014 |
RMC
0 - 1
EIB
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2014 |
ALA
2 - 2
RMC
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2014 |
RMC
0 - 2
DEP
42%
26%
33%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 mar. 2014 |
PON
0 - 0
RMC
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 abr. 2014 |
RJA
1 - 0
CDT
36%
29%
35%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 2014 |
ZAR
1 - 0
RJA
67%
22%
11%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2014 |
RJA
0 - 3
FCB
29%
27%
44%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 2014 |
MIR
2 - 1
RJA
50%
28%
22%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 mar. 2014 |
RJA
1 - 1
HER
36%
29%
35%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |