Análisis Roma vs Cesena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
83.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.7
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
11.9%
Empate
0-0
4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
4.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.51
Goles esperados
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 oct. 2014 |
SAM
0 - 0
ROM
27%
25%
49%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 oct. 2014 |
ROM
1 - 7
BYM
12%
18%
70%
|
89 | 98 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 oct. 2014 |
ROM
3 - 0
CHI
81%
13%
6%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 2014 |
JUV
3 - 2
ROM
57%
23%
20%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 sep. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 1
ROM
70%
18%
12%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 oct. 2014 |
CES
0 - 1
INT
21%
26%
53%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 2014 |
PAL
2 - 1
CES
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 oct. 2014 |
UDI
1 - 1
CES
72%
18%
9%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 sep. 2014 |
CES
1 - 1
ACM
15%
21%
64%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 2014 |
JUV
3 - 0
CES
82%
14%
5%
|
73 | 93 | 20 | 0 |