Análisis Roma vs Mantova
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
72.5%
Probabilidad gana
2.53
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.1%
Empate
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11.4%
Probabilidad gana
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
+7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 ene. 1963 |
NAP
3 - 3
ROM
36%
25%
40%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 ene. 1963 |
ROM
2 - 2
VNZ
77%
14%
9%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 ene. 1963 |
ATL
3 - 1
ROM
41%
25%
34%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 dic. 1962 |
INT
2 - 0
ROM
65%
18%
16%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 dic. 1962 |
ROM
2 - 0
SAM
72%
16%
12%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
Partidos
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 ene. 1963 |
INT
1 - 0
MAN
78%
14%
8%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 ene. 1963 |
SAM
2 - 2
MAN
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 ene. 1963 |
MAN
0 - 1
BOL
33%
25%
41%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 dic. 1962 |
JUV
2 - 0
MAN
81%
12%
7%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 dic. 1962 |
CAT
1 - 1
MAN
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |