Análisis Roma vs SPAL
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
74.2%
Probabilidad gana
2.67
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
15.1%
Empate
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
10.7%
Probabilidad gana
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 feb. 1963 |
JUV
2 - 0
ROM
68%
17%
15%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 feb. 1963 |
ROM
5 - 1
CAT
74%
15%
11%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 feb. 1963 |
MOD
1 - 3
ROM
19%
24%
57%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 ene. 1963 |
ROM
7 - 1
MAN
73%
16%
11%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 ene. 1963 |
NAP
3 - 3
ROM
36%
25%
40%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 feb. 1963 |
SPA
2 - 0
TOR
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 feb. 1963 |
SPA
1 - 0
SAM
52%
24%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 feb. 1963 |
NAP
2 - 0
SPA
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 ene. 1963 |
CAT
0 - 0
SPA
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 ene. 1963 |
SPA
1 - 0
PAL
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |