Análisis Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Union Berlin
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
71%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.29
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.6%
Empate
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.8
Goles esperados
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+32%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 oct. 1986 |
BSG
0 - 0
ERF
33%
27%
40%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 1986 |
ERF
2 - 0
SGD
40%
24%
36%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 1986 |
BSV
2 - 1
ERF
36%
25%
40%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 1986 |
FVF
0 - 3
ERF
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 sep. 1986 |
ERF
2 - 2
CHE
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 oct. 1986 |
FCU
1 - 1
FVF
28%
29%
43%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 1986 |
CHE
2 - 1
FCU
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 1986 |
FCU
1 - 1
COT
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 1986 |
BFC
8 - 1
FCU
85%
10%
4%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 sep. 1986 |
FCU
2 - 1
MAG
24%
27%
49%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |