Análisis Sacachispas vs Excursionistas
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.74
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.1%
Empate
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
15%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.72
Goles esperados
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+28%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Sacachispas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 ago. 2013 |
CAM
3 - 1
SAC
33%
28%
39%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 ago. 2013 |
SAC
2 - 1
LIN
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 ago. 2013 |
CCO
1 - 1
SAC
31%
27%
43%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 ago. 2013 |
SAC
1 - 1
BER
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 jun. 2013 |
POR
4 - 0
SAC
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -2 |
Partidos
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 ago. 2013 |
EXC
3 - 0
MID
33%
27%
41%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 ago. 2013 |
STM
0 - 1
EXC
49%
27%
25%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 ago. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 1
LAF
28%
30%
42%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 ago. 2013 |
LUJ
0 - 0
EXC
59%
25%
16%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 jun. 2013 |
EXC
0 - 2
ITA
40%
29%
31%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -2 |