Análisis Samoa vs Papúa Nueva Guinea
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
17.7%
Probabilidad gana
0.93
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.8%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
60.5%
Probabilidad gana
1.91
Goles esperados
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-24%
-35%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Samoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 jun. 2016 |
NCL
7 - 0
SAM
81%
13%
6%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 may. 2016 |
TAH
4 - 0
SAM
75%
17%
8%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 sep. 2015 |
TON
0 - 3
SAM
21%
22%
57%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 sep. 2015 |
COK
1 - 0
SAM
46%
24%
31%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 ago. 2015 |
SAM
3 - 2
ASA
86%
11%
3%
|
26 | 8 | 18 | 0 |
Partidos
Papúa Nueva Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 jun. 2016 |
PNG
2 - 2
TAH
24%
24%
53%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 may. 2016 |
PNG
1 - 1
NCL
17%
22%
61%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 mar. 2016 |
SOL
1 - 2
PNG
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 mar. 2016 |
SOL
2 - 0
PNG
57%
22%
21%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 2014 |
PHL
5 - 0
PNG
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | -1 |