Análisis San Fernando CD vs CD Alcalá
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.94
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.3%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-22%
-21%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
San Fernando CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 feb. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
LUC
84%
11%
4%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 ene. 2016 |
ARC
2 - 1
SAN
20%
25%
56%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | -2 |
| 17 ene. 2016 |
CIS
0 - 1
SAN
35%
25%
41%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 ene. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
UTR
75%
16%
9%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
Partidos
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 feb. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 1
UTR
61%
22%
17%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 ene. 2016 |
SEV
0 - 0
ALC
40%
26%
33%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 ene. 2016 |
ALC
3 - 0
CAS
54%
24%
22%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 ene. 2016 |
ECI
1 - 0
ALC
42%
25%
33%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 ene. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 1
CDG
49%
25%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |