Análisis San Fernando CD vs UD Marinaleda
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
81.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.82
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
12.3%
Empate
0-0
3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.69
Goles esperados
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-29%
+697%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
San Fernando CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 dic. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
POR
84%
11%
5%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 dic. 2011 |
ANT
1 - 2
SAN
20%
24%
56%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 nov. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 3
ARC
77%
14%
9%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 nov. 2011 |
POZ
2 - 2
SAN
32%
26%
42%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 nov. 2011 |
SAN
4 - 1
ROC
81%
12%
7%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
UD Marinaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 dic. 2011 |
CAD
1 - 2
MAR
59%
22%
18%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 dic. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 2
CON
45%
25%
30%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 nov. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
MAR
73%
18%
10%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 nov. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 1
ALG
32%
27%
42%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 nov. 2011 |
CRD
1 - 2
MAR
55%
24%
21%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |