Análisis San Marcos Arica vs Ñublense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
31.7%
Probabilidad gana
1.05
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.5%
28.6%
Empate
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
39.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.21
Goles esperados
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 ene. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 3
DCO
40%
29%
32%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 dic. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 0
BAR
47%
28%
25%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 dic. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 0
PUE
37%
29%
35%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 dic. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 1
USF
35%
30%
36%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 dic. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 2
SAN
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -2 |
Partidos
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 ene. 2021 |
NUB
2 - 3
USF
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 ene. 2021 |
NUB
5 - 0
DCO
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 ene. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 4
NUB
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 ene. 2021 |
NUB
1 - 2
DEP
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 dic. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 1
NUB
32%
28%
40%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |