Análisis San Marcos Arica vs Univ. Concepción
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
54.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.69
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.2%
Empate
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+23%
+26%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 sep. 2000 |
USF
2 - 0
SAN
49%
24%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 sep. 2000 |
SAN
2 - 0
DEP
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 sep. 2000 |
DLI
4 - 0
SAN
38%
26%
37%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -2 |
| 26 ago. 2000 |
SAN
4 - 1
DLS
57%
24%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 ago. 2000 |
SAN
0 - 0
CSD
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 sep. 2000 |
UCO
0 - 1
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 sep. 2000 |
NUB
0 - 0
UCO
46%
25%
30%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 sep. 2000 |
UCO
2 - 1
MAG
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 ago. 2000 |
ANT
2 - 0
UCO
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 ago. 2000 |
NTA
1 - 1
UCO
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |