Primera Nacional Final
Global 5-2
Análisis San Martín Tucumán vs Sarmiento
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
40.7%
Probabilidad gana
1.33
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.9%
Empate
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
32.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.16
Goles esperados
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+14%
-7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
San Martín Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 may. 2018 |
SAR
1 - 0
SMA
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 may. 2018 |
SMA
3 - 0
AGR
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 may. 2018 |
AGR
0 - 0
SMA
33%
29%
38%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 may. 2018 |
SMA
3 - 3
DAL
48%
26%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 abr. 2018 |
BRO
1 - 0
SMA
48%
26%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
Partidos
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 may. 2018 |
SAR
1 - 0
SMA
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 may. 2018 |
BRO
2 - 4
SAR
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +2 |
| 13 may. 2018 |
SAR
1 - 1
BRO
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 may. 2018 |
SAR
0 - 0
INS
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2018 |
BUC
0 - 1
SAR
34%
28%
39%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |