Análisis San Telmo vs Def. Belgrano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
26.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.01
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.6%
Empate
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
46.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.43
Goles esperados
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-7%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
San Telmo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 abr. 2008 |
MER
1 - 0
STM
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 2008 |
STM
1 - 1
ARM
33%
30%
38%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2008 |
BRO
2 - 0
STM
70%
17%
12%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 mar. 2008 |
STM
0 - 2
ALB
20%
25%
55%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 mar. 2008 |
ITA
3 - 0
STM
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 abr. 2008 |
DEF
1 - 3
BRO
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 2008 |
ALB
3 - 3
DEF
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2008 |
DEF
0 - 1
ITA
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 mar. 2008 |
TAL
0 - 1
DEF
33%
27%
40%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 mar. 2008 |
DEF
0 - 0
EST
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |