Análisis Santa Helena vs Aparecidense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
53%
Probabilidad gana
1.88
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.5%
Empate
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
24.5%
Probabilidad gana
1.21
Goles esperados
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-13%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Santa Helena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 mar. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 2
SAN
74%
16%
10%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 2
TRI
62%
21%
18%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 mar. 2011 |
CRA
3 - 1
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 mar. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 1
SAN
33%
24%
42%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 feb. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 3
ANA
36%
24%
40%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
Partidos
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 mar. 2011 |
APA
1 - 6
GOI
12%
18%
70%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 2011 |
APA
2 - 1
VIL
22%
22%
56%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 mar. 2011 |
MOR
0 - 3
APA
42%
24%
34%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 mar. 2011 |
TRI
2 - 2
APA
44%
24%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 feb. 2011 |
APA
2 - 2
CRA
34%
24%
41%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |