Análisis Santo André vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.8
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-24%
+20%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 ago. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 0
ANA
77%
16%
8%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 ago. 2004 |
ITU
3 - 1
SAN
29%
27%
45%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 ago. 2004 |
AME
0 - 3
SAN
23%
26%
51%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 jul. 2004 |
SAN
1 - 1
MOG
79%
14%
7%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 jul. 2004 |
VIL
1 - 3
SAN
26%
27%
48%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 ago. 2004 |
NAU
1 - 0
ITU
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 ago. 2004 |
ANA
1 - 1
NAU
31%
25%
44%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 ago. 2004 |
BRA
1 - 1
NAU
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 jul. 2004 |
NAU
3 - 0
POR
58%
23%
20%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 jul. 2004 |
PAU
2 - 1
NAU
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |