Análisis Santos FC vs Botafogo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
77.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.62
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
14.4%
Empate
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.75
Goles esperados
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
+12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 abr. 2004 |
PAR
3 - 2
SAN
32%
25%
43%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 2004 |
SAN
5 - 0
JWI
83%
11%
6%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 abr. 2004 |
SAO
4 - 0
SAN
35%
26%
38%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 mar. 2004 |
SAN
3 - 3
SAO
67%
20%
13%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 mar. 2004 |
GUA
1 - 2
SAN
25%
25%
50%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 abr. 2004 |
BOT
1 - 4
GOI
29%
25%
46%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 2004 |
MAD
2 - 4
BOT
18%
20%
62%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 2004 |
FLA
0 - 1
BOT
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 mar. 2004 |
CAB
2 - 0
BOT
11%
16%
73%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 mar. 2004 |
BOT
3 - 1
AME
57%
22%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |