Análisis Santos FC vs Guaratinguetá
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
91.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.23
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
8.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.9%
4-0
12.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.8%
3-0
15.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.7%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
6.9%
Empate
0-0
2.8%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
6.9%
1.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.34
Goles esperados
0-1
1%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 ene. 2007 |
BRA
2 - 3
SAN
14%
21%
66%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 2007 |
SAN
4 - 1
SER
91%
7%
2%
|
86 | 50 | 36 | 0 |
| 20 ene. 2007 |
SAN
3 - 0
SAO
60%
23%
17%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 ene. 2007 |
GRÊ
1 - 2
SAN
6%
13%
81%
|
86 | 51 | 35 | 0 |
| 03 dic. 2006 |
SAN
3 - 1
SAN
71%
19%
10%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | +1 |
Partidos
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 ene. 2007 |
GRÊ
0 - 2
GUA
37%
24%
39%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 ene. 2007 |
GUA
3 - 1
MAR
28%
23%
50%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 ene. 2007 |
SAO
2 - 0
GUA
72%
19%
9%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | -1 |