Análisis Santos FC vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
71.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.17
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.1%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
10.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.68
Goles esperados
0-1
4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
+20%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 oct. 2012 |
PPE
1 - 0
SAN
27%
25%
48%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 oct. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
ATM
57%
22%
21%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 oct. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
VAS
57%
23%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 oct. 2012 |
BOT
0 - 2
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 oct. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
SCI
54%
24%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 oct. 2012 |
NAU
0 - 0
POR
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 oct. 2012 |
COT
2 - 1
NAU
68%
20%
13%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 oct. 2012 |
NAU
1 - 0
PAL
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 oct. 2012 |
PPE
2 - 1
NAU
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 oct. 2012 |
NAU
2 - 1
COR
26%
29%
46%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | +1 |