Paulista B Primera Fase Jor. 8

Análisis CA Joseense vs União Mogi

CA Joseense União Mogi
36 ELO 26
12.4% Tilt -7.8%
28062º Ranking ELO general 12291º
782º Ranking ELO país 460º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
68.1%
CA Joseense
18.1%
Empate
13.7%
União Mogi

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
68.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
CA Joseense
2.31
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.1%
Empate
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
União Mogi
0.94
Goles esperados
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

Progresión del ELO

CA Joseense
União Mogi
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

CA Joseense
CA Joseense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 may. 2019
SJS
CA Joseense
1 - 1
Paulista
PAU
32%
26%
43%
34 46 12 0
04 may. 2019
MOG
Atlético Mogi
2 - 6
CA Joseense
SJS
11%
17%
72%
34 10 24 0
27 abr. 2019
MAN
Manthiqueira
0 - 0
CA Joseense
SJS
41%
25%
34%
34 33 1 0
21 abr. 2019
SJS
CA Joseense
0 - 1
São José
SAO
36%
25%
39%
35 44 9 -1
14 abr. 2019
SJS
CA Joseense
1 - 1
Amparo
AMP
67%
17%
16%
35 27 8 0

Partidos

União Mogi
União Mogi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 may. 2019
UNI
União Mogi
3 - 1
Manthiqueira
MAN
30%
25%
45%
24 33 9 0
04 may. 2019
PAU
Paulista
3 - 1
União Mogi
UNI
79%
15%
6%
24 46 22 0
01 may. 2019
UNI
União Mogi
2 - 0
Atlético Mogi
MOG
79%
14%
8%
24 11 13 0
28 abr. 2019
SAO
São José
2 - 1
União Mogi
UNI
73%
18%
9%
25 44 19 -1
20 abr. 2019
AMP
Amparo
3 - 2
União Mogi
UNI
49%
23%
29%
25 28 3 0