Capixaba Primera Ronda Jor. 6

Análisis São Mateus vs Real Noroeste

São Mateus Real Noroeste
48 ELO 53
-8.7% Tilt -8.2%
24015º Ranking ELO general 4426º
737º Ranking ELO país 135º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
33.1%
São Mateus
24.5%
Empate
42.5%
Real Noroeste

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
33.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
São Mateus
1.36
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24.5%
Empate
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
42.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
Real Noroeste
1.57
Goles esperados
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

Progresión del ELO

São Mateus
Real Noroeste
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

São Mateus
São Mateus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 feb. 2016
SAO
São Mateus
0 - 0
Capixaba
CAP
74%
17%
9%
49 28 21 0
20 feb. 2016
SAO
São Mateus
2 - 1
Rio Branco ES
RIO
34%
26%
40%
48 52 4 +1
17 feb. 2016
LIN
Linhares
1 - 0
São Mateus
SAO
41%
27%
32%
49 48 1 -1
30 ene. 2016
REA
Real Noroeste
2 - 1
São Mateus
SAO
53%
23%
24%
50 53 3 -1
02 may. 2015
SAO
São Mateus
1 - 2
Capixaba
CAP
74%
17%
9%
50 28 22 0

Partidos

Real Noroeste
Real Noroeste
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 feb. 2016
LIN
Linhares
1 - 0
Real Noroeste
REA
29%
24%
47%
53 49 4 0
20 feb. 2016
CAP
Capixaba
0 - 0
Real Noroeste
REA
13%
19%
68%
53 28 25 0
13 feb. 2016
REA
Real Noroeste
0 - 0
Rio Branco ES
RIO
45%
23%
32%
53 52 1 0
30 ene. 2016
REA
Real Noroeste
2 - 1
São Mateus
SAO
53%
23%
24%
53 50 3 0
02 may. 2015
LIN
Linhares
0 - 1
Real Noroeste
REA
33%
25%
43%
52 49 3 +1