Análisis São Paulo vs Defensor Sporting
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.68
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.9%
Empate
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
16.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.75
Goles esperados
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 abr. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 2
SAO
21%
27%
52%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 1
GUA
91%
8%
2%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2009 |
SAO
1 - 0
PAL
54%
25%
21%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 mar. 2009 |
NOR
1 - 2
SAO
6%
18%
77%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 2009 |
PAU
1 - 1
SAO
18%
24%
59%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
Partidos
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 abr. 2009 |
DEF
3 - 2
NAC
50%
25%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2009 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
DEF
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 2009 |
DEF
0 - 1
SAO
37%
27%
36%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 2009 |
DEF
3 - 2
RIV
61%
21%
17%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 2009 |
LFC
0 - 0
DEF
36%
27%
38%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |