Copa Libertadores . Semifinal
Global 2-2
Análisis São Paulo vs Internacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
47.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.5
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.9%
Empate
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27%
Probabilidad gana
1.06
Goles esperados
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 jul. 2010 |
SAO
2 - 1
CEA
68%
20%
12%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 jul. 2010 |
SCI
1 - 0
SAO
48%
26%
26%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 jul. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAO
51%
24%
25%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 jul. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 1
GRÊ
67%
20%
13%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 jul. 2010 |
VIT
3 - 2
SAO
30%
26%
44%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 ago. 2010 |
SCI
0 - 0
GRE
49%
25%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 jul. 2010 |
SCI
1 - 0
SAO
48%
26%
26%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 jul. 2010 |
SCI
1 - 0
FLA
44%
25%
31%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 jul. 2010 |
ATM
1 - 2
SCI
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 jul. 2010 |
SCI
2 - 1
CEA
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |