Conmebol Sudamericana . 1/16
Global 2-2
Análisis São Paulo vs São Caetano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
55.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.64
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.6%
Empate
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.1%
Probabilidad gana
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 sep. 2004 |
COR
0 - 0
SAO
32%
26%
42%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 sep. 2004 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAO
40%
27%
33%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 2004 |
SAO
0 - 0
CRZ
49%
24%
27%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 sep. 2004 |
PAR
0 - 2
SAO
30%
25%
45%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 sep. 2004 |
SAO
2 - 3
COT
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
Partidos
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 sep. 2004 |
SAO
2 - 0
GRE
56%
25%
20%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 sep. 2004 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAO
40%
27%
33%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 2004 |
VAS
1 - 2
SAO
42%
27%
31%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 sep. 2004 |
SAO
1 - 0
FFL
54%
25%
21%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 2004 |
SAO
2 - 2
COT
52%
26%
22%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |