Análisis Sarmiento vs Acassuso
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
53.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.66
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.4%
Empate
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
+48%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 feb. 2009 |
ITA
2 - 0
SAR
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 2009 |
SAR
3 - 1
STM
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 ene. 2009 |
BRO
3 - 3
SAR
46%
24%
30%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 dic. 2008 |
SAR
2 - 0
TAL
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 dic. 2008 |
SAR
2 - 0
EST
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Acassuso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 feb. 2009 |
ACA
1 - 1
COL
42%
29%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 ene. 2009 |
CHI
2 - 2
ACA
69%
20%
11%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 2009 |
ACA
0 - 1
ALM
27%
29%
44%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 dic. 2008 |
DEF
1 - 1
ACA
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 dic. 2008 |
SUA
1 - 2
ACA
51%
25%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |