Análisis Sarmiento vs Def. Belgrano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
71.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.3
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.4%
Empate
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.8
Goles esperados
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 mar. 2001 |
STM
0 - 0
SAR
26%
25%
48%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 2001 |
SAR
2 - 0
ARM
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 mar. 2001 |
BER
0 - 4
SAR
7%
18%
76%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 mar. 2001 |
SAR
2 - 6
CAM
82%
13%
5%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | -1 |
| 03 mar. 2001 |
TEM
1 - 1
SAR
42%
26%
33%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 mar. 2001 |
DEF
1 - 0
MER
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 mar. 2001 |
DEF
3 - 1
ALM
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 mar. 2001 |
SUA
3 - 2
DEF
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 mar. 2001 |
STM
3 - 0
DEF
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 feb. 2001 |
DEF
2 - 2
ARM
48%
26%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |