Análisis Sarmiento vs Def. Belgrano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
35.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.34
Goles esperados
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.4%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
39.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.44
Goles esperados
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-7%
-7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 abr. 2005 |
FER
1 - 0
SAR
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 mar. 2005 |
SAR
1 - 3
CHA
35%
27%
38%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 mar. 2005 |
CAI
5 - 3
SAR
57%
23%
19%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 2005 |
SAR
0 - 2
JAN
61%
22%
18%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 mar. 2005 |
GIM
2 - 1
SAR
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 abr. 2005 |
CHA
1 - 2
DEF
58%
23%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 mar. 2005 |
DEF
0 - 0
JAN
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 mar. 2005 |
RAF
3 - 1
DEF
60%
22%
19%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 mar. 2005 |
DEF
2 - 2
TAL
27%
26%
47%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 mar. 2005 |
POR
0 - 1
DEF
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |