Análisis Sarmiento vs Def. Belgrano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
45%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.52
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.4%
Empate
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.18
Goles esperados
0-1
8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 abr. 2009 |
SUA
2 - 0
SAR
46%
24%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 2009 |
MOR
3 - 2
SAR
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 mar. 2009 |
SAR
0 - 0
FLA
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 2009 |
TEM
2 - 1
SAR
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 mar. 2009 |
SAR
2 - 2
ESP
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 abr. 2009 |
DEF
2 - 2
COL
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 0
DEF
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2009 |
DEF
0 - 1
ALM
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 mar. 2009 |
DEF
3 - 2
ARM
57%
25%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 2009 |
SUA
2 - 3
DEF
52%
24%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |