Análisis Sarmiento vs Def. Belgrano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
30.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.01
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19%
28.6%
Empate
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
41.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.23
Goles esperados
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 ago. 2011 |
TEM
0 - 1
SAR
39%
28%
33%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 ago. 2011 |
SAR
4 - 1
ALM
32%
26%
42%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +2 |
| 06 ago. 2011 |
SUA
2 - 0
SAR
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 jun. 2011 |
SAR
0 - 0
PLA
34%
27%
39%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 may. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 2
SAR
71%
20%
9%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 ago. 2011 |
DEF
1 - 1
MOR
54%
26%
20%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 ago. 2011 |
PLA
2 - 0
DEF
40%
29%
30%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 jun. 2011 |
DEF
1 - 0
CHI
40%
29%
31%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 jun. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 1
DEF
48%
28%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 jun. 2011 |
DEF
2 - 0
VSC
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |