Análisis Sarmiento vs Def. Belgrano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
56.5%
Probabilidad gana
1.49
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
26.3%
Empate
0-0
11.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
17.2%
Probabilidad gana
0.69
Goles esperados
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-12%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 ene. 2021 |
SAR
1 - 1
TIG
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 dic. 2020 |
RIE
1 - 2
SAR
25%
27%
48%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 dic. 2020 |
SAR
1 - 0
SMA
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 dic. 2020 |
GIM
2 - 3
SAR
34%
28%
39%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 nov. 2020 |
SAR
0 - 0
DAL
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 ene. 2021 |
DEF
2 - 0
RAF
34%
29%
37%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 dic. 2020 |
TIG
0 - 1
DEF
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 dic. 2020 |
DEF
1 - 0
RIE
46%
28%
26%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 dic. 2020 |
DEF
0 - 1
SMA
22%
27%
51%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 2020 |
DEF
0 - 0
GIM
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |