Análisis Sarmiento vs Defensa y Justicia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
46.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.51
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.6%
Empate
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
28.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.13
Goles esperados
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 abr. 2005 |
CAU
3 - 2
SAR
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 2005 |
SAR
0 - 0
SMA
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 2005 |
RAC
2 - 1
SAR
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 abr. 2005 |
SAR
3 - 0
DEF
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +2 |
| 04 abr. 2005 |
FER
1 - 0
SAR
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
Partidos
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 abr. 2005 |
SMA
0 - 0
DYJ
51%
26%
23%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 2005 |
DYJ
1 - 1
DEF
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 2005 |
CHA
3 - 0
DYJ
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 abr. 2005 |
DYJ
1 - 0
JAN
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2005 |
RAF
2 - 2
DYJ
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |