Análisis Sarmiento vs Dep. Español
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.84
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.6%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.94
Goles esperados
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
-22%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 abr. 2004 |
SAR
1 - 0
ITA
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 2004 |
SAR
3 - 4
ALB
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 abr. 2004 |
FLA
1 - 0
SAR
40%
29%
32%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 2004 |
SAR
2 - 1
CAM
55%
23%
23%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 2004 |
PLA
1 - 2
SAR
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Dep. Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 abr. 2004 |
CAM
0 - 3
ESP
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 2004 |
ESP
2 - 1
PLA
44%
26%
31%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 abr. 2004 |
MOR
1 - 1
ESP
59%
24%
17%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 2004 |
ESP
2 - 2
BRO
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 2004 |
ALM
1 - 1
ESP
63%
22%
15%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | +1 |