Análisis Sarmiento vs Dep. Español
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.84
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.5%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
-24%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 feb. 2009 |
SAR
3 - 2
ARM
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2009 |
COM
4 - 1
SAR
31%
27%
42%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 feb. 2009 |
SAR
2 - 4
ACA
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 feb. 2009 |
ITA
2 - 0
SAR
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 ene. 2009 |
SAR
3 - 1
STM
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
Partidos
Dep. Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 mar. 2009 |
ESP
0 - 0
COL
41%
28%
31%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 mar. 2009 |
CHI
2 - 1
ESP
75%
17%
8%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 feb. 2009 |
ESP
1 - 1
ALM
26%
28%
46%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 feb. 2009 |
DEF
2 - 1
ESP
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 feb. 2009 |
ESP
0 - 0
SUA
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |