Análisis Sarmiento vs Laferrere
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.16
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.2%
Empate
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
14.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
+42%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 may. 2004 |
ATL
0 - 3
SAR
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 may. 2004 |
TAL
1 - 1
SAR
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2004 |
SAR
3 - 2
ESP
59%
23%
19%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 2004 |
SAR
1 - 0
ITA
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 abr. 2004 |
SAR
3 - 4
ALB
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Laferrere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 may. 2004 |
LAF
2 - 0
FLA
36%
28%
37%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 may. 2004 |
LAF
1 - 0
PLA
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 abr. 2004 |
CAM
2 - 1
LAF
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 abr. 2004 |
MOR
2 - 1
LAF
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 abr. 2004 |
ALM
2 - 0
LAF
65%
21%
15%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |