Análisis Sarmiento vs Deportivo Merlo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
47.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.59
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.9%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.14
Goles esperados
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
-19%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 sep. 2007 |
ARM
0 - 0
SAR
38%
28%
35%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 2007 |
SAR
0 - 0
TAL
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 sep. 2007 |
SAR
1 - 0
STM
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 sep. 2007 |
BRO
3 - 1
SAR
38%
25%
37%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 ago. 2007 |
EST
2 - 1
SAR
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 sep. 2007 |
MER
0 - 0
TEM
55%
25%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 sep. 2007 |
COM
1 - 0
MER
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 sep. 2007 |
MER
2 - 4
MOR
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 ago. 2007 |
ACA
1 - 0
MER
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 ago. 2007 |
MER
2 - 2
ESP
53%
26%
21%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |